Analysts Can’t Nail Weyerhaueser, But the Market is Already Writing it Off

Weyerhaueser (WY – NYSE)

Thursday, July 25, 2013

We certainly got the call on Caterpillar (CAT – NYSE) right – it’s down 4.4% as we write. So, let’s continue forecasting more companies that are about report earnings.

Weyerhaueser (WY – NYSE) has reported increasing profit in the past two quarters, but the analysts have been all over the map for this quarter. At first, earnings were slated for $0.29, then they bumped it up to $0.32, and just recently it has been cut back to $0.30.

Will WY thrill or disappoint tomorrow?

WY 072513

Bottarelli Research Tip: WY’s price has been ramping up over the last four weeks, but now it is putting in a 3x Sell Signal Stack. Over the past three years, we have seen nine similar stacks. The median follow-on loss was -6.10% and the average follow-on loss was -9.42%. A similar loss now would see WY shares drop to the -38.2% retracement marker at $25.93. However, WY is also building up a Death Cross, wherein the 50-day (10-week) average crosses under the 200-day (40-week) average. If this signal comes in, we might see WY’s tumble continue as far as the -61.8% retracement marker at $21.39, making for a -26% net loss from current price. Yikes.

Prepare Now for GMCR Earnings: Two weeks from tomorrow on Wednesday August 7, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters is set to report earnings. With an eye-popping 34% short ratio, this means that over 28 million GMCR shares are currently sold shot. Going into their earnings report, this could set GMCR up for a move of epic proportions. Will the move be higher or lower? And more importantly, how should you play it? All of our real-time trades will be issued to Bottarelli Research Options subscribers over the next two weeks, and you need to be a part of the action. If you like big movers, the time to join us is now.

How have we had such success playing GMCR, and what’s the play for their upcoming earnings report? The answers are revealed here.

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