American Wallets are Killing This Retailer

WalMart (WMT – NYSE)

Friday, August 30, 2013

We have several broad economic indicators in hand today that bode ill for retail in general – and for one major retailer in particular.

The July, personal income and spending managed a very anemic 0.1%, which was half of what the economists promised.

Spending rose by just 0.1%, which was only a third what the economist expected.

The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan’s final reading for consumer sentiment sagged from 85.1 in July to 82.1 in August.

This last reading directly contradicts Tuesday’s Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence numbers, which were supposedly showing a 0.5 point gain in August.

Frankly, all these reported “gains” are so small as to be within most studies’ margin of error. Only the loss was sizable to be trustworthy.

WMT 083013

Bottarelli Research Tip: WalMart (WMT – NYSE) investors are having no problem sorting through the numbers. Over the course of the summer, WMT has put up a clear Double Top. And in the past few weeks, it has confirmed that warning with a huge 5x Sell Signal stack. The previous three 3x Sell Signal Stacks saw average follow-on losses of -6.67%. However this latest signal adds in a broken trend bottom and a broken 200-day (40-week) moving average to the usual mix. How many different ways can investors say “SELL!?” Our initial target for WMT is $66.66. But if that breaks, losses would quickly double.

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Friday, 30 August 2013